POSTED: February 3, 2010 - 2:31 pm
CATEGORIES: MMA, International
In
a fight initially slated to take place at UFC 17 in May 1998, MMA
pioneers Randy Couture and Mark Coleman will finally get it on this
Saturday night at UFC 109.
In their mid-40s, "The Natural" and "The Hammer" are still going strong
as they headline a major pay-per-view card in 2010 at the Mandalay Bay
in Las Vegas.
Here's a breakdown of UFC 109:
-Randy Couture (17-10) vs. Mark Coleman (16-9)
This battle of UFC Hall of Famers may be happening 12 years too late.
But even today, a main event between Couture and Coleman is an
intriguing match-up with potentially major repercussions.
The 46-year-old Couture and 45-year-old Coleman are legends in the
sport and neither man can afford a setback at this stage in their
career.
Couture's comeback in 2007 was a remarkable example of his dedication
to the sport. "The Natural" dethroned Tim Sylvia to reclaim the UFC
heavyweight championship and successfully defended the title against
Gabriel Gonzaga. After returning to the promotion again in 2008
following a lengthy contract dispute, Couture dropped back-to-back
fights against Brock Lesnar and Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira, which
prompted the former two-division champion to drop down in
weight.
Back at 205 pounds, Couture edged Brandon Vera via unanimous decision
at UFC 105 last November. The victory over Vera was a pivotal moment in
Couture's career as it demonstrated he can still be a relevant factor
in the light heavyweight division.
The founder of Xtreme Couture has beaten some of the best fighters
during his era, including Pedro Rizzo, Kevin Randleman, Chuck Liddell,
Tito Ortiz and Vitor Belfort.
Coleman is coming off a much-needed win over Stephan Bonnar at UFC 100
last July. The win came after losses in recent years against stiff
competition including Mirko "Cro Cop" in his prime, Nogueira, Mauricio Rua and Fedor
Emelianenko.
In his prime, the 2000 Pride Grand Prix winner defeated some of the
sport's all-time legends including Gary Goodridge, Don Frye, Dan
Severn, Kazuyuki
Fujita and Igor Vovchanchyn.
The first-ever UFC heavyweight champion has high hopes of adding
Couture to his list of victims, but he lacks the conditioning and
striking needed to last against the crafty 27-fight veteran.
Couture's Greco-Roman wrestling base and world-renowned clinch and
ground-and-pound style have been the trademark tools in his repertoire.
Stylistically, Coleman, who is credited as the "Godfather of
ground-and-pound," excels in similar areas. The 1992 Olympian and
former NCAA champion is a decorated wrestler as well. However, Coleman
lacks cardio and his striking skills have been questionable. Moreover,
his grappling has not improved one bit since he first began in the
sport.
The difference maker will be Couture's ability to evolve with the
sport. Couture has made drastic headway with his striking. His ability
to brutalize opponents in the clinch is second to none and his work
ethic in the gym is inspiring to fighters half his age. With all
factors taken into consideration, Couture should control the bout en
route to a decision nod.
In defeat, Coleman may need to asses his standing in the UFC. In all
likelihood, Coleman has already accepted that he will never be a
champion again.
Couture, meanwhile, can move closer to a crack at the title later this
year. A championship clash between Couture and the winner of Lyoto
Machida-Mauricio "Shogun" Rua at UFC 113 can still be a major draw for
the company.
Verdict: Couture via Unanimous Decision
-Nate Marquardt (29-8-2) vs. Chael Sonnen (23-10-1)
The three-time King of Pancrase and two-time national wrestling
champion will collide with a potential shot at the middleweight crown
on the line.
Marquardt, a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu under Ricardo Murgel,
has improved considerably since his knockout loss to Anderson Silva at
UFC 73 in 2007.
Coming off wins over Demian Maia, Wilson Gouveia and Martin Kampmann,
Marquardt has been training with Greg Jackson in New Mexico to put all
the tools in his game together.
In 39 career bouts, Marquardt has showcased a strong base in submission grappling coupled with menacing kickboxing.
Sonnen, a veteran of 35 pro fights, is a former NCAA All-American and
U.S. Olympic team alternate. Under Matt Lindland's wing at Team Quest,
Sonnen has become a major middleweight threat coming off back-to-back
victories over Yushin Okami and Dan Miller. The Greco-Roman wrestler
Sonnen holds career victories over Renato Sobral, Jason Lambert, Jason
Miller, Trevor Prangley and Paulo Filho.
Sonnen's standup game needs polishing. He will rely heavily on his
wrestling to outmuscle and outmaneuver Marquardt to win a decision.
Unheralded until his recent upset win over Okami, Sonnen is accustomed
to playing it safe by taking his opponents down and dropping punches
from top control, a tactic he employed perfectly in his win over Miller
at UFC 98.
But Marquardt has been training with Georges St-Pierre, the best
wrestler in the sport. If Sonnen's strategy will be to take Marquardt
down with ease, he may be in for a long night. Marquardt is the vastly
superior standup fighter with more speed, sharper footwork and greater
punching power.
In addition, Marquardt is a submission expert. His world-class BJJ can
threaten Sonnen if he finds himself fighting off his back. Sonnen has
struggled against superior submission experts such as Maia and Filho.
Marquardt is not the same fighter he was two years ago. He has stepped
his game and is rightfully eager to get back into the octagon with the
kingpin Silva. Marquardt, the superior all-around mixed martial artist,
should punish the standout wrestler on Saturday's night to justify his
rematch with "The Spider."
Verdict: Marquardt via TKO, Round 3
-Paulo Thiago (12-1) vs. Mike Swick (14-3)
A rematch between Thiago and Josh Koscheck was ultimately a better match-up.
However, Thiago and Swick both need a standout performance in the
170-pound division and this fight presents both men with an opportunity
they need to capitalize on.
Thiago, a black belt in BJJ and Judo, is a member of the elite special
police force in Brazil. He put UFC matchmaker Joe Silva on notice when
he knocked out Koscheck at UFC 95 last February.
With only one loss on his record, a decision versus No. 2 welterweight
Jon Fitch, Thiago is looking to make it 2-1 in bouts with welterweight
sensations from the American Kickboxing Academy.
Now training with the Nogueiras, Anderson Silva and Lyoto Machida at
Team Black House in addition to regularly training at Constrictor Team,
Thiago is an evolving fighter with unlimited potential.
Swick, Koscheck's teammate AKA, is a highly touted welterweight coming
off a unanimous decision loss to upcoming title challenger Dan Hardy.
Since debuting in 1998, Swick has defeated the likes of Joe Riggs, Josh
Burkman, Marcus Davis, Jonathan Goulet and Ben Saunders.
With strong takedown defense, quick hands, a long range and decent
submission skills, Swick is a handful for most welterweights and Thiago
should be no exception.
Despite being a well-rounded fighter, Swick can be exploited by Thiago
on the mat. If the Brazilian can take this fight to the ground, he will
control the action to win on judges' scorecards. But if Swick
successfully thwarts the takedown, he will rapidly turn into a
favourite to win.
Verdict: Thiago via Unanimous Decision
-Matt Serra (9-6) vs. Frank Trigg (19-7)
Serra and Trigg will put on a great show for the fans in this welterweight encounter.
Nicknamed "The Terror," Serra is the first American BJJ black belt under Renzo Gracie.
Serra also packs a mean punch, which he showcased by shocking the world and stopping St-Pierre at UFC 67 in 2007.
On paper, Serra's 9-6 record is nothing to rave about. But the proud
New Yorker has only lost to top fighters such as St-Pierre, Matt
Hughes, Karo Parisyan and B.J. Penn. His loss to Hughes at UFC 98 last
May was a close encounter with neither man gaining any decisive edge in
the fight.
Trigg, a former NCAA Division I Wrestler with a black belt in Judo, is a well-rounded southpaw with 26 fights under his belt.
Anchored at Xtreme Couture in Las Vegas, Trigg is coming off a
first-round TKO loss to Koscheck in his return to the UFC last
September.
Much like Serra, Trigg has only dropped bouts to some of the division's
best including St-Pierre, Hughes, Hayato Sakurai, Carlos Condit and
Robbie Lawler. On the other hand, Trigg has prevailed against
respectable opponents like Kazuo Misaki, Falaniko Vitali, Jason Miller
and Jean Jacques Machado.
Trigg might opt to respect the ground game of Serra by standing and
trading punches. Regardless of how he tackles Serra, Trigg takes the
risk of leaving himself open to danger. Serra has one-punch power and
dangerous submissions, which makes him the likely candidate to prevail
on this welterweight collision course.
Verdict: Serra via TKO, Round 1
-Demian Maia (11-1) vs. Dan Miller (11-2)
This bout presents the opportunity of a lifetime to Miller, but does
little to propel the career of Maia, a 2nd degree BJJ black belt under
Fabio Gurgel.
Maia's grappling credentials are among the best in the sport. In 2007,
he reached the top of the BJJ mountain by winning the Abu Dhabi
submission grappling tournament.
Idolizing MMA legend Rickson Gracie, Maia won "Submission of the Night" honors four times in five UFC wins.
Formerly a top contender to challenge Silva for the middleweight title,
Maia needs a win to maintain a top-10 ranking following a knockout loss
to Marquardt last August.
Miller, a former Cage Fury Fighting Championships and IFL middleweight
champion, has a background in freestyle wrestling. He too is no slouch
on the ground. On Jan. 15, Miller was awarded his BJJ black belt under
Renzo Gracie black belt Jamie Cruz.
If Maia expects to steamroll through the AMA Fight Club product, he may
run into some resistance. Miller is banking on a solid performance to
further his UFC career following a unanimous decision setback to Sonnen
last May.
Although Miller possesses the survival tools, his striking and
wrestling are not good enough to neutralize Maia's relentless ground
assault. Miller is likely to be controlled by the superior BJJ
practitioner before succumbing to a submission.
Verdict: Maia via Submission, Round 2

